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Flight Rising Discussion

Discuss everything and anything Flight Rising.
TOPIC | The Scattering Won't Stop Until XXX
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[quote name="Glacecakes" date="2023-07-27 12:18:38" ] [quote name="saspitite" date="2023-07-27 12:15:02" ] [quote name="Glacecakes" date="2023-07-27 12:13:20" ] Question… is the scatter odds really 1/30000? That sounds…. Extremely low [/quote] apparently, yes. it's quite the losing battle lol [/quote] No no…. Low as in, the odds should be much worse [/quote] it's because OP is looking at ANY triple. 177 colors possible odds of landing the same 3 colors in the set: (1/177)^3 = 1/5,545,233 BUT since any color is acceptable so long as it's the same color in all 3 rolls (prim, sec, tert) we have to multiply by the # of possible sets. fuchsia is just as valid as moon! ([1/177]^3)*177 = 1/31,329 or 1 in 31,300, thereabouts. mind you that's still a MINISCULE chance. to compare: odds of hatching a shiny pokemon in the new games are 1/512 endgame. my last hunt was 1,832 eggs at those odds--meaning i went more than triple what the numbers suggested would happen. and that's totally normal. 1,200 or 1,300 egg hunts are frequent because 1/512 is still something like 0.19% chance of any egg popping out shiny. for better comparison: your odds of being [i]literally struck by lightning[/i] are just 1 in 15,300 [s]btw can i be on the pinglist[/s]
Glacecakes wrote on 2023-07-27 12:18:38:
saspitite wrote on 2023-07-27 12:15:02:
Glacecakes wrote on 2023-07-27 12:13:20:
Question… is the scatter odds really 1/30000? That sounds…. Extremely low
apparently, yes. it's quite the losing battle lol
No no…. Low as in, the odds should be much worse

it's because OP is looking at ANY triple.

177 colors possible
odds of landing the same 3 colors in the set: (1/177)^3 = 1/5,545,233

BUT since any color is acceptable so long as it's the same color in all 3 rolls (prim, sec, tert) we have to multiply by the # of possible sets. fuchsia is just as valid as moon!

([1/177]^3)*177 = 1/31,329 or 1 in 31,300, thereabouts.

mind you that's still a MINISCULE chance.

to compare: odds of hatching a shiny pokemon in the new games are 1/512 endgame. my last hunt was 1,832 eggs at those odds--meaning i went more than triple what the numbers suggested would happen. and that's totally normal. 1,200 or 1,300 egg hunts are frequent because 1/512 is still something like 0.19% chance of any egg popping out shiny.

for better comparison:
your odds of being literally struck by lightning are just 1 in 15,300

btw can i be on the pinglist
Can you put me on the pinglist? If it's 1 in 30k and you do one scatter a month (I know you've been doing more), you'll have a cumulative 50% chance of XXX 1250 years from now, and I want to see it happen!
Can you put me on the pinglist? If it's 1 in 30k and you do one scatter a month (I know you've been doing more), you'll have a cumulative 50% chance of XXX 1250 years from now, and I want to see it happen!
Hi!! Could you add me to the pinglist? :)
Hi!! Could you add me to the pinglist? :)
bcSqlhd.pngFObX7rS.png0DYiJ8Z.pngomKpPgG.pnghh5n4WA.pngFBZwPWz.png
[quote name="zereshk5" date="2023-07-29 10:00:38" ] Can you put me on the pinglist? If it's 1 in 30k and you do one scatter a month (I know you've been doing more), you'll have a cumulative 50% chance of XXX 1250 years from now, and I want to see it happen! [/quote] this is probably the funniest reply i've seen in this thread, because it implies i could live for 1250 more years absolutely. i will obtain godhood and use my powers solely to keep the site running so i can continue to scatter evad
zereshk5 wrote on 2023-07-29 10:00:38:
Can you put me on the pinglist? If it's 1 in 30k and you do one scatter a month (I know you've been doing more), you'll have a cumulative 50% chance of XXX 1250 years from now, and I want to see it happen!
this is probably the funniest reply i've seen in this thread, because it implies i could live for 1250 more years

absolutely. i will obtain godhood and use my powers solely to keep the site running so i can continue to scatter evad
SASPITITE | any but she/her | friend reqs open | frt +2



LINKS | about me | a hotel...? | avatar | wishlist | art shop
[center] hello evaders! awful name choice, i know, but honestly i've grown on it. you must now suffer from the cringe too today, i've decided to do 3 scatters in a row! i want to see how people would feel with me potentially doing three scatters in one post every month, instead of my usual single scatter per month. let me know how you guys feel, whether you think it's too much in a short amount of time or if you prefer its efficiency more! i've been wanting to pick up the pace with this project, anyway. ----- [b]!!!SPEEDROUND!!![/b] [b]so, for our first scatter:[/b] [url=https://www1.flightrising.com/dragon/82036630][img]https://www1.flightrising.com/dgen/preview/dragon?age=1&body=139&bodygene=0&breed=11&element=5&eyetype=0&gender=1&tert=154&tertgene=0&winggene=0&wings=73&auth=8469a80a188411dafd52123f8ab622d610a10ad3&dummyext=prev.png[/img][/url] FLAXEN, MAUVE, AND CAMO! man, it always seems like the tert comes in to ruin such a pretty combo... but i do like flaxen and mauve quite a bit hehe [img]https://www1.flightrising.com/dgen/preview/dragon?age=1&body=139&bodygene=1&breed=12&element=5&eyetype=12&gender=1&tert=154&tertgene=24&winggene=12&wings=73&auth=78d831e19bb2f56b120a3e2016593c8099f16952&dummyext=prev.png[/img] strange girl ----- [b]second scatter:[/b] [url=https://www1.flightrising.com/dragon/82036630][img]https://www1.flightrising.com/dgen/preview/dragon?age=1&body=176&bodygene=0&breed=11&element=5&eyetype=0&gender=1&tert=127&tertgene=0&winggene=0&wings=72&auth=a24ce99b538a0a5cbe5dee785497df9c8a74643a&dummyext=prev.png[/img][/url] ELDRITCH, WINE, AND BLACKBERRY! oh my god evad is entering her goth era. i love it so much [img]https://www1.flightrising.com/dgen/preview/dragon?age=1&body=176&bodygene=19&breed=13&element=5&eyetype=8&gender=1&tert=127&tertgene=12&winggene=20&wings=72&auth=b9aa6be323d74e624009db9310edc8971d5876bd&dummyext=prev.png[/img] literally sobbing over this i love her actually ----- [b]and third scatter!!!:[/b] [url=https://www1.flightrising.com/dragon/82036630][img]https://www1.flightrising.com/dgen/preview/dragon?age=1&body=158&bodygene=0&breed=11&element=5&eyetype=0&gender=1&tert=174&tertgene=0&winggene=0&wings=46&auth=6c4567978b3937bfcdae4bcdc91dddc2899c4b7e&dummyext=prev.png[/img][/url] PUMPKIN, SUNSHINE, AND TWILIGHT! you. what are you doing to my HEART. [img]https://www1.flightrising.com/dgen/preview/dragon?age=1&body=158&bodygene=170&breed=11&element=5&eyetype=4&gender=1&tert=174&tertgene=24&winggene=22&wings=46&auth=ff60540e44c0d2eb18c2fb2565888e80a6348f2b&dummyext=prev.png[/img] literally what the hell i'm on the floor exploding and dying ----- i will never recover. so anyways! lmk how you feel about this format and if we should implement it, scrap it, or turn it into an occasional thing when i'm feeling extra evil
hello evaders! awful name choice, i know, but honestly i've grown on it. you must now suffer from the cringe too

today, i've decided to do 3 scatters in a row! i want to see how people would feel with me potentially doing three scatters in one post every month, instead of my usual single scatter per month. let me know how you guys feel, whether you think it's too much in a short amount of time or if you prefer its efficiency more! i've been wanting to pick up the pace with this project, anyway.
!!!SPEEDROUND!!!

so, for our first scatter:

dragon?age=1&body=139&bodygene=0&breed=11&element=5&eyetype=0&gender=1&tert=154&tertgene=0&winggene=0&wings=73&auth=8469a80a188411dafd52123f8ab622d610a10ad3&dummyext=prev.png
FLAXEN, MAUVE, AND CAMO!
man, it always seems like the tert comes in to ruin such a pretty combo... but i do like flaxen and mauve quite a bit hehe
dragon?age=1&body=139&bodygene=1&breed=12&element=5&eyetype=12&gender=1&tert=154&tertgene=24&winggene=12&wings=73&auth=78d831e19bb2f56b120a3e2016593c8099f16952&dummyext=prev.png
strange girl
second scatter:

dragon?age=1&body=176&bodygene=0&breed=11&element=5&eyetype=0&gender=1&tert=127&tertgene=0&winggene=0&wings=72&auth=a24ce99b538a0a5cbe5dee785497df9c8a74643a&dummyext=prev.png
ELDRITCH, WINE, AND BLACKBERRY!
oh my god evad is entering her goth era. i love it so much
dragon?age=1&body=176&bodygene=19&breed=13&element=5&eyetype=8&gender=1&tert=127&tertgene=12&winggene=20&wings=72&auth=b9aa6be323d74e624009db9310edc8971d5876bd&dummyext=prev.png
literally sobbing over this i love her actually
and third scatter!!!:

dragon?age=1&body=158&bodygene=0&breed=11&element=5&eyetype=0&gender=1&tert=174&tertgene=0&winggene=0&wings=46&auth=6c4567978b3937bfcdae4bcdc91dddc2899c4b7e&dummyext=prev.png
PUMPKIN, SUNSHINE, AND TWILIGHT!
you. what are you doing to my HEART.
dragon?age=1&body=158&bodygene=170&breed=11&element=5&eyetype=4&gender=1&tert=174&tertgene=24&winggene=22&wings=46&auth=ff60540e44c0d2eb18c2fb2565888e80a6348f2b&dummyext=prev.png
literally what the hell i'm on the floor exploding and dying
i will never recover. so anyways! lmk how you feel about this format and if we should implement it, scrap it, or turn it into an occasional thing when i'm feeling extra evil
SASPITITE | any but she/her | friend reqs open | frt +2



LINKS | about me | a hotel...? | avatar | wishlist | art shop
I say the more scatters, the more I can live vicariously through you the better!

delicious
#3691561

What a pretty combo... alas
I say the more scatters, the more I can live vicariously through you the better!

delicious
#3691561

What a pretty combo... alas
more is great! aaa the eldritch/wine/blackberry tho ;-; this one's not my thing, I'm not into orange, but it sure is matchy [img]https://www1.flightrising.com/dgen/preview/dragon?age=1&body=158&bodygene=121&breed=21&element=5&eyetype=0&gender=1&tert=174&tertgene=130&winggene=126&wings=46&auth=c21dc4622e9f46ceab003f9255ab6a6a2f575b19&dummyext=prev.png[/img]
more is great! aaa the eldritch/wine/blackberry tho ;-;

this one's not my thing, I'm not into orange, but it sure is matchy

dragon?age=1&body=158&bodygene=121&breed=21&element=5&eyetype=0&gender=1&tert=174&tertgene=130&winggene=126&wings=46&auth=c21dc4622e9f46ceab003f9255ab6a6a2f575b19&dummyext=prev.png
Bubbly Buddy Razanei Lineage Project
Virtual Hibden
Breed Out the Ugly Challenge
[img]https://www1.flightrising.com/dgen/preview/dragon?age=0&body=158&bodygene=170&breed=12&element=5&eyetype=11&gender=1&tert=174&tertgene=18&winggene=59&wings=46&auth=f5da1aaa0c9c8127873c57307273a56a70d0a6dc&dummyext=prev.png[/img] Love these colours ugh
dragon?age=0&body=158&bodygene=170&breed=12&element=5&eyetype=11&gender=1&tert=174&tertgene=18&winggene=59&wings=46&auth=f5da1aaa0c9c8127873c57307273a56a70d0a6dc&dummyext=prev.png

Love these colours ugh
HX0RiC0.png
oh i made it into the OP, i'm so proud ;w;

3 sounds good!!! considering you're aiming high more rolls is also probably better LOL

though uh looking at today's she seems hell-bent on making this as painful as humanly possible, omg. that 2nd and 3rd are both SO good what on earth
oh i made it into the OP, i'm so proud ;w;

3 sounds good!!! considering you're aiming high more rolls is also probably better LOL

though uh looking at today's she seems hell-bent on making this as painful as humanly possible, omg. that 2nd and 3rd are both SO good what on earth
oh no, oh jeez, oh no [img]https://www1.flightrising.com/dgen/preview/dragon?age=1&body=158&bodygene=206&breed=23&element=5&eyetype=0&gender=1&tert=174&tertgene=177&winggene=206&wings=46&auth=ad679c9e87cdd2400155c309e79728fcdf57c570&dummyext=prev.png[/img] look I enjoy causing myself vicarious pain okay [img]https://www1.flightrising.com/dgen/preview/dragon?age=1&body=158&bodygene=212&breed=23&element=5&eyetype=0&gender=1&tert=174&tertgene=185&winggene=212&wings=46&auth=dbdb00b9466f485bf08aa4dc9168a2b95ec2abe8&dummyext=prev.png[/img] I AM ENJOYING THIS PAIN
oh no, oh jeez, oh no
dragon?age=1&body=158&bodygene=206&breed=23&element=5&eyetype=0&gender=1&tert=174&tertgene=177&winggene=206&wings=46&auth=ad679c9e87cdd2400155c309e79728fcdf57c570&dummyext=prev.png
look I enjoy causing myself vicarious pain okay
dragon?age=1&body=158&bodygene=212&breed=23&element=5&eyetype=0&gender=1&tert=174&tertgene=185&winggene=212&wings=46&auth=dbdb00b9466f485bf08aa4dc9168a2b95ec2abe8&dummyext=prev.png
I AM ENJOYING THIS PAIN
LOVE IS INEFFICIENT. GET BACK TO WORK.
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