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Quests & Challenges

Quests, Challenges, and Festival games.
TOPIC | Exalt a Roundsey Challenge
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Probabilities:
Tickets: 133157
Dragon: 1 in 133
Anything: 46%
Probabilities:
Tickets: 133157
Dragon: 1 in 133
Anything: 46%
Really crossing my fingers for you here! I wanna see you win that dragon! [emoji=nocturne laughing size=1]
Really crossing my fingers for you here! I wanna see you win that dragon!
Probabilities with <60mins left
Tickets:709546
Dragon:1 in 710
Anything: 10.8%

Earlier today, it was at ~400000 tickets so a few spent a ton. I feel bad for anyone who spent 4kg on tickets and won a 600g cloak. I think I have chances on a plushie.

Edit: didn’t win anything.
Probabilities with <60mins left
Tickets:709546
Dragon:1 in 710
Anything: 10.8%

Earlier today, it was at ~400000 tickets so a few spent a ton. I feel bad for anyone who spent 4kg on tickets and won a 600g cloak. I think I have chances on a plushie.

Edit: didn’t win anything.
Week 6 1000 tickets: [img]https://snipboard.io/AUnZ6X.jpg[/img] Dragon: 1 in 29 Anything: 92% Only 11 of this weeks 71 prizes are decent making it less popular. I think I can do it.
Week 6 1000 tickets:
AUnZ6X.jpg

Dragon: 1 in 29
Anything: 92%

Only 11 of this weeks 71 prizes are decent making it less popular. I think I can do it.
This challenge is hilarious! My fingers are crossed for you.
This challenge is hilarious! My fingers are crossed for you.
dcf703ab-9a42-11ea-8cb1-bf4ff3e8f19c.gif Follow my Triple Basic to Rare Challenge! dcf703ab-9a42-11ea-8cb1-bf4ff3e8f19c.gif
With one hour left, here are the final chances:

Tickets: 159778
Dragon: 1 in 160
Anything: 36%

Again, the number for anything is higher and I will update next morning.

Edit: didn’t win anything.
With one hour left, here are the final chances:

Tickets: 159778
Dragon: 1 in 160
Anything: 36%

Again, the number for anything is higher and I will update next morning.

Edit: didn’t win anything.
Week 7 1000 tickets: [img]https://snipboard.io/7Vc9HG.jpg[/img] I briefly held a 95% chance at the dragon. Will give probabilities later.
Week 7 1000 tickets:
7Vc9HG.jpg

I briefly held a 95% chance at the dragon.
Will give probabilities later.
@Stormstar waoooow, good luck dude!! I have a suggestion for ya, try buying like 333 tickets in the beginning of the raffle, the middle, and then 334 at the end to balance it out! I tried that and actually won a roundseys item!
@Stormstar waoooow, good luck dude!! I have a suggestion for ya, try buying like 333 tickets in the beginning of the raffle, the middle, and then 334 at the end to balance it out! I tried that and actually won a roundseys item!
@forestfyre
From a mathematical standpoint, buying tickets at separate times isn’t any better than buying them all at once.

As of now, I’ve won 3 of the 6 raffles since the start of the challenge.
@forestfyre
From a mathematical standpoint, buying tickets at separate times isn’t any better than buying them all at once.

As of now, I’ve won 3 of the 6 raffles since the start of the challenge.
@Stormstar that makes sense, I just never buy more than 100 tickets and I've won 2 roundseys from doing that (halo, and 25 fish cakes)! not sure if it helped at all, or if it was just pure luck!
@Stormstar that makes sense, I just never buy more than 100 tickets and I've won 2 roundseys from doing that (halo, and 25 fish cakes)! not sure if it helped at all, or if it was just pure luck!
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