Probabilities:
Tickets: 133157
Dragon: 1 in 133
Anything: 46%
Probabilities:
Tickets: 133157
Dragon: 1 in 133
Anything: 46%
Really crossing my fingers for you here! I wanna see you win that dragon! [emoji=nocturne laughing size=1]
Really crossing my fingers for you here! I wanna see you win that dragon!
Probabilities with <60mins left
Tickets:709546
Dragon:1 in 710
Anything: 10.8%
Earlier today, it was at ~400000 tickets so a few spent a ton. I feel bad for anyone who spent 4kg on tickets and won a 600g cloak. I think I have chances on a plushie.
Edit: didn’t win anything.
Probabilities with <60mins left
Tickets:709546
Dragon:1 in 710
Anything: 10.8%
Earlier today, it was at ~400000 tickets so a few spent a ton. I feel bad for anyone who spent 4kg on tickets and won a 600g cloak. I think I have chances on a plushie.
Edit: didn’t win anything.
Week 6 1000 tickets:
[img]https://snipboard.io/AUnZ6X.jpg[/img]
Dragon: 1 in 29
Anything: 92%
Only 11 of this weeks 71 prizes are decent making it less popular. I think I can do it.
Week 6 1000 tickets:
Dragon: 1 in 29
Anything: 92%
Only 11 of this weeks 71 prizes are decent making it less popular. I think I can do it.
This challenge is hilarious! My fingers are crossed for you.
This challenge is hilarious! My fingers are crossed for you.
With one hour left, here are the final chances:
Tickets: 159778
Dragon: 1 in 160
Anything: 36%
Again, the number for anything is higher and I will update next morning.
Edit: didn’t win anything.
With one hour left, here are the final chances:
Tickets: 159778
Dragon: 1 in 160
Anything: 36%
Again, the number for anything is higher and I will update next morning.
Edit: didn’t win anything.
Week 7 1000 tickets:
[img]https://snipboard.io/7Vc9HG.jpg[/img]
I briefly held a 95% chance at the dragon.
Will give probabilities later.
Week 7 1000 tickets:
I briefly held a 95% chance at the dragon.
Will give probabilities later.
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Stormstar waoooow, good luck dude!! I have a suggestion for ya, try buying like 333 tickets in the beginning of the raffle, the middle, and then 334 at the end to balance it out! I tried that and actually won a roundseys item!
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Stormstar waoooow, good luck dude!! I have a suggestion for ya, try buying like 333 tickets in the beginning of the raffle, the middle, and then 334 at the end to balance it out! I tried that and actually won a roundseys item!
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forestfyre
From a mathematical standpoint, buying tickets at separate times isn’t any better than buying them all at once.
As of now, I’ve won 3 of the 6 raffles since the start of the challenge.
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forestfyre
From a mathematical standpoint, buying tickets at separate times isn’t any better than buying them all at once.
As of now, I’ve won 3 of the 6 raffles since the start of the challenge.
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Stormstar that makes sense, I just never buy more than 100 tickets and I've won 2 roundseys from doing that (halo, and 25 fish cakes)! not sure if it helped at all, or if it was just pure luck!
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Stormstar that makes sense, I just never buy more than 100 tickets and I've won 2 roundseys from doing that (halo, and 25 fish cakes)! not sure if it helped at all, or if it was just pure luck!