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Quests & Challenges

Quests, Challenges, and Festival games.
TOPIC | Exalt a Roundsey Challenge
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Week 3’s 1000 tickets: [img]https://snipboard.io/D0kCWK.jpg[/img] Dragon odds: 1 in 52 Anything odds: 95% Numbers will go down as more buy tickets
Week 3’s 1000 tickets:
D0kCWK.jpg

Dragon odds: 1 in 52
Anything odds: 95%

Numbers will go down as more buy tickets
Final probabilities at 1 hour remaining:
Tickets:320791
Dragon: 1 in 321
Anything: 38%

This might take longer if there aren't as many multi-dragon raffle's

Will edit what I win next morning.

Edit: I won a voltaic halo
Final probabilities at 1 hour remaining:
Tickets:320791
Dragon: 1 in 321
Anything: 38%

This might take longer if there aren't as many multi-dragon raffle's

Will edit what I win next morning.

Edit: I won a voltaic halo
Week 4’s 1000 tickets: [img]https://snipboard.io/hfneI2.jpg[/img] Dragon: 1 in 72 Anything: 66% Numbers will go down as more buy tickets
Week 4’s 1000 tickets:
hfneI2.jpg
Dragon: 1 in 72
Anything: 66%

Numbers will go down as more buy tickets
congrats on the halo! I love those they're so pretty
congrats on the halo! I love those they're so pretty
my heart stopped when i saw the thread title but then "Yes, but I will restore it a few days later and keep/auction it." restored it. good luck, you sadist.
my heart stopped when i saw the thread title but then "Yes, but I will restore it a few days later and keep/auction it." restored it. good luck, you sadist.
IJH9dpS.png
@bardcollege

I'm not the first to do it, and I'm not the only one to think of doing so.
@bardcollege

I'm not the first to do it, and I'm not the only one to think of doing so.
@Stormstar I FEEL LIKE IM IN A HORROR MOVIE
@Stormstar I FEEL LIKE IM IN A HORROR MOVIE
IJH9dpS.png
~30 mins left of this week so final probabilities:

Dragon: 1 in 399
Anything: 17.8%

The dragon probability is exact while the anything probability is higher since every winner has their remaining tickets discarded for drawn again. For example if 6 people go to a raffle with 2 prizes and one buys 5 tickets while the remaining buy 1 each, the chances of winning the first prize will be 50-10-10-10-10-10 but the chances of winning either prize will be 78-28.4-28.4-28.4-28.4. Will put a more detailed explanation later.

Will edit after the raffle ends.

Edit: I won Skeletal Chimes
~30 mins left of this week so final probabilities:

Dragon: 1 in 399
Anything: 17.8%

The dragon probability is exact while the anything probability is higher since every winner has their remaining tickets discarded for drawn again. For example if 6 people go to a raffle with 2 prizes and one buys 5 tickets while the remaining buy 1 each, the chances of winning the first prize will be 50-10-10-10-10-10 but the chances of winning either prize will be 78-28.4-28.4-28.4-28.4. Will put a more detailed explanation later.

Will edit after the raffle ends.

Edit: I won Skeletal Chimes
Week 5's 1000 tickets: [img]https://snipboard.io/Lou02K.jpg[/img] Will wait until next morning to post probabilities.
Week 5's 1000 tickets:
Lou02K.jpg

Will wait until next morning to post probabilities.
Wishing you luck!
Wishing you luck!
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