Week 3’s 1000 tickets:
[img]https://snipboard.io/D0kCWK.jpg[/img]
Dragon odds: 1 in 52
Anything odds: 95%
Numbers will go down as more buy tickets
Week 3’s 1000 tickets:
Dragon odds: 1 in 52
Anything odds: 95%
Numbers will go down as more buy tickets
Final probabilities at 1 hour remaining:
Tickets:320791
Dragon: 1 in 321
Anything: 38%
This might take longer if there aren't as many multi-dragon raffle's
Will edit what I win next morning.
Edit: I won a voltaic halo
Final probabilities at 1 hour remaining:
Tickets:320791
Dragon: 1 in 321
Anything: 38%
This might take longer if there aren't as many multi-dragon raffle's
Will edit what I win next morning.
Edit: I won a voltaic halo
Week 4’s 1000 tickets:
[img]https://snipboard.io/hfneI2.jpg[/img]
Dragon: 1 in 72
Anything: 66%
Numbers will go down as more buy tickets
Week 4’s 1000 tickets:
Dragon: 1 in 72
Anything: 66%
Numbers will go down as more buy tickets
congrats on the halo! I love those they're so pretty
congrats on the halo! I love those they're so pretty
my heart stopped when i saw the thread title but then "Yes, but I will restore it a few days later and keep/auction it." restored it. good luck, you sadist.
my heart stopped when i saw the thread title but then "Yes, but I will restore it a few days later and keep/auction it." restored it. good luck, you sadist.
@
Stormstar I FEEL LIKE IM IN A HORROR MOVIE
~30 mins left of this week so final probabilities:
Dragon: 1 in 399
Anything: 17.8%
The dragon probability is exact while the anything probability is higher since every winner has their remaining tickets discarded for drawn again. For example if 6 people go to a raffle with 2 prizes and one buys 5 tickets while the remaining buy 1 each, the chances of winning the first prize will be 50-10-10-10-10-10 but the chances of winning either prize will be 78-28.4-28.4-28.4-28.4. Will put a more detailed explanation later.
Will edit after the raffle ends.
Edit: I won Skeletal Chimes
~30 mins left of this week so final probabilities:
Dragon: 1 in 399
Anything: 17.8%
The dragon probability is exact while the anything probability is higher since every winner has their remaining tickets discarded for drawn again. For example if 6 people go to a raffle with 2 prizes and one buys 5 tickets while the remaining buy 1 each, the chances of winning the first prize will be 50-10-10-10-10-10 but the chances of winning either prize will be 78-28.4-28.4-28.4-28.4. Will put a more detailed explanation later.
Will edit after the raffle ends.
Edit: I won Skeletal Chimes
Week 5's 1000 tickets:
[img]https://snipboard.io/Lou02K.jpg[/img]
Will wait until next morning to post probabilities.
Week 5's 1000 tickets:
Will wait until next morning to post probabilities.