Quests & Challenges

1155

April 23, 2021 23:03:39

Probabilities after 3 days:

Dragon: 1 in 99
Anything: 78.4%

The celebration apparel is worth nothing, making the dragon chance higher than the last 6 raffles.

FR +0 | he / him | About | Exalt a Roundsey Challenge

Week 8: [img]https://snipboard.io/UeISul.jpg[/img] Dragon: 1 in 90 Anything: 61% Apologies for not updating yesterday, too busy with IRL things. I did not win anything today.

Stormstar

1155

April 28, 2021 10:27:04

Week 8:

Dragon: 1 in 90
Anything: 61%

Apologies for not updating yesterday, too busy with IRL things. I did not win anything today.

FR +0 | he / him | About | Exalt a Roundsey Challenge

Final probabilities for week 8:
Tickets: 430668
Dragon: 1 in 431
Anything: 18%

This week felt longer than last week for some reason.

Edit: I won an eliminate.

Stormstar

1155

May 04, 2021 23:19:29

Final probabilities for week 8:
Tickets: 430668
Dragon: 1 in 431
Anything: 18%

This week felt longer than last week for some reason.

Edit: I won an eliminate.

FR +0 | he / him | About | Exalt a Roundsey Challenge

Last edited on May 05, 2021 07:58:40 by Stormstar

Week 9: [img]https://snipboard.io/BFZStv.jpg[/img] Dragons: 1 in 28 Anything: 70.7%

Stormstar

1155

May 05, 2021 08:46:51

Week 9:

Dragons: 1 in 28
Anything: 70.7%

FR +0 | he / him | About | Exalt a Roundsey Challenge

Week 9 raffle probabilities at 15 minutes remaining:
Tickets: 866058
Dragons: 1 in 289
Anything: 11%

Will update results next morning

Edit: didn’t win anything

Stormstar

1155

May 11, 2021 23:46:34

Week 9 raffle probabilities at 15 minutes remaining:
Tickets: 866058
Dragons: 1 in 289
Anything: 11%

Will update results next morning

Edit: didn’t win anything

FR +0 | he / him | About | Exalt a Roundsey Challenge

Last edited on May 12, 2021 07:53:13 by Stormstar

Week 10 1000 tickets: [img]https://snipboard.io/hVX5D8.jpg[/img] Dragon: 1 in 115 Anything: 48.4% Reached a milestone of buying 10000 tickets total

Stormstar

1155

May 12, 2021 23:57:21

Week 10 1000 tickets:

Dragon: 1 in 115
Anything: 48.4%

Reached a milestone of buying 10000 tickets total

FR +0 | he / him | About | Exalt a Roundsey Challenge

Probabilities at 45 mins remaining:
Tickets: 269431
Dragon: 1 in 269
Anything: 24.6%

Like always, update tomorrow.

Edit: I won the darkened eye scar

Stormstar

1155

May 18, 2021 23:14:52

Probabilities at 45 mins remaining:
Tickets: 269431
Dragon: 1 in 269
Anything: 24.6%

Like always, update tomorrow.

Edit: I won the darkened eye scar

FR +0 | he / him | About | Exalt a Roundsey Challenge

Last edited on May 19, 2021 07:38:55 by Stormstar

Tickets for week 11: [img]https://snipboard.io/PwuRSm.jpg[/img] Tickets: 83112 Dragons: 1 in 28 Anything: 19.6%

Stormstar

1155

May 19, 2021 23:19:50

Tickets for week 11:

Tickets: 83112
Dragons: 1 in 28
Anything: 19.6%

FR +0 | he / him | About | Exalt a Roundsey Challenge

Last edited on May 19, 2021 23:20:30 by Stormstar

keeping an eye on this post, this is super interesting. I love people who actually figure out the chances. Good luck!

Colourful

270

59

340

2858

May 20, 2021 03:06:32

keeping an eye on this post, this is super interesting. I love people who actually figure out the chances. Good luck!

...Baa

Chances at 1 hour left:

Tickets: 230092
Dragons: 1 in 77
Anything: 7.5%

I don't think I've ever participated in a raffle with this few prizes.
Will edit results tomorrow

Edit: didn’t win anything

Stormstar