I... completely forgot to take note of something
special about the triple Thicket Wildclaw. He is the 50th breeding project I personally have completed. He is the 51st dragon listed, but two of the dragons before him came from the same nest, and therefore same breeding project, so, 50 projects completed.
I have learned a lot from all these projects. Through trial and error, I learned precisely what i need to reliably reach the goal dragon. I have refined the pyramid breeding scheme over the years, to the point that I need to re-write my guide.
I have also learned that sometimes, I take way longer than I needed to on a given project. I have only recently discovered the value in asking for breedings from already-existing dragons, to speed up projects, instead of embarking on a months-long journey of creating giant family trees. There's a time and a place for both, and I am beginning to embrace the dragon search with a little more enthusiasm. And as I continue breeding, I expect that I will continue
learning, as well.
I decided to celebrate my achievement by looking at the Dragonwish Foundation's achievements. At the time of writing this, we've granted
176 wishes since I started keeping records.
My records weren't always super detailed, and it was only relatively recently that I began keeping a detailed record of all our wishes granted, beyond just linking the dragon and the date they were given to the wisher. But, I currently have 83 entries of usable data, to explore the question: How long do wishes take?
It's a question I get often, and expectations from people have ranged from 5 days (the length of time it takes to nest a pair), to under a month, to maybe a couple months, and most aren't expecting the answer of "4-24 months",
my estimate. But I figured, why not see what the data says?
For all 83 entries, we have:
Average Number of Days from Placement to Completion:
321
Average Number of Days from Assignment to Completion:
178
For the DWF, the big number here would be the first one, from the day the wisher placed the wish, to the day the wisher got the dragon. That's what most wishers want to know. For those interested in estimating breeding project time, the second number is more useful, as it indicates the time actually spent breeding a given project.
Out of curiosity, I decided to see how the Dragonwish Foundation was doing over time, so, for a very quick look, I divided the entries into two categories: Everything granted in the past 6 months, and everything granted before the past 6 months, and... the data seems to show that we're improving!
Prior to the last six months:
Average Number of Days from Placement to Completion:
371
Average Number of Days from Assignment to Completion:
182
The last six months:
Average Number of Days from Placement to Completion:
263
Average Number of Days from Assignment to Completion:
173
The big change is the number of days from placement to completion, and that's a factor of several things in play these days: In general, the wishlist is much more under control than it used to be, and the oldest
unassigned wishes are just under 3 months old. Additionally, I have gotten better at keeping on top of wishes going awry by monitoring for inactivity. Lastly, we have a more robust network of systems in place these days to help speed up the projects, and we're continually working to improve it.
The number of days from assignment to completion hasn't changed much, and I suspect that's because there haven't been any major changes to how breeding is done on Flight Rising. It is still a good sign that the number has gone down, however small the gap is, because as Flight Rising adds more genes and breeds to the game, over time getting projects actually becomes
more difficult, not less, so if all else was equal, I would expect this number to go up instead.
So, all that being said, what about some specifics? What's the longest time a wish has taken, and what's the shortest?
The longest wish took 1232 days from start to finish, while the
breeding project for it only took 303 days. What happened? This specific wish, I had a breeder tell me they were working on it for several check-ins (each check-in is 6 months apart), and then finally tell me they had not done anything, because the wisher had a similar dragon already in their lair, and the breeder assumed the wisher therefore didn't want the wish any more.
When I asked the wisher, they did, in fact, still want the dragon, despite having a similar one in their lair, and the breeder went MIA so I took the wish over, and 303 days later, finally gave the
very patient wisher their dragon.
The shortest wish, from placement to completion, is 6 days, and goes to the
Christmas miracle I bred. There are a couple who have 0 days for a breeding project, and that's because we actually found and bought the dragon asked for, rather than bred for it. Even so, these wishes had to wait a bit for someone to find the dragon, and in total were all longer than the 6 day Gaoler. He is definitely an outlier, as is the 1232 day project.
Next, I wanted to look at the data, by breed, and by breed rarity. Unfortunately, this is where the data isn't as reliable, as some breeds only had a couple entries, while others had none. But, there's still some interesting information to see.
As I predicted, the time varies between tiers of breed rarity in relatively uniform order: Plentifuls are the fastest, and the length of time increases each tier, with Rare breeds being the slowest. Within tiers, however, the breed differences were too unreliable, as I am now dealing with data sets of only 12 (Spirals) at most, and some breeds (Guardians, Snappers, Banescales) had none.
There are a few more issues with the data overall, such as changed placement or assigned dates making some wishes appear to take shorter or longer than they really did, and some of the wishes not actually being projects, etc. Therefore, this has been an interesting
look at the numbers, but I am going to revisit this once I have 250 lines of data... which should be, if I record everything meticulously, wish number 291. Look for another visit to the statistics then!