[center][size=7][u]Countdown to 60mil[/u][/size]
[size=5]ID #60000000[/size]
[size=5][url=https://www1.flightrising.com/forums/frd/2809483/189#post_42582395]60mil hatched at 12:16 FR![/url][/size]
[size=3]Thanks to everyone who participated, and congrats on all your dragons![/size]
[size=2][url=https://www1.flightrising.com/forums/frd/2809483/14#post_42073532]Previous Estimate 1/26/20[/url] • [url=https://www1.flightrising.com/forums/frd/2809483/24#post_42202231]Previous Estimate 2/8/20[/url] • [url=https://www1.flightrising.com/forums/frd/2809483/28#post_42360678]Previous Estimate 2/23/20[/url] • [url=https://www1.flightrising.com/forums/frd/2809483/31#post_42495527]Previous Estimate 3/7/20[/url] • [url=https://www1.flightrising.com/forums/frd/2809483/37#post_42540670]Previous Estimate 3/12/20[/url] • [url=https://www1.flightrising.com/forums/frd/2809483/50#post_42571334]Previous Estimate 3/15/20[/url][/size][/center]
hey y'all, happy new year! it's time again for another countdown! 50mil may have felt like yesterday, but it's a new year, a new [i]decade[/i], perfect time for a new big ID! 58.5mil hatched recently, which is my indicator to kick this countdown in B)
as usual, i'm reusing the bulk of the [url=http://www1.flightrising.com/forums/frd/2352225/1]40mil[/url]/[url=http://www1.flightrising.com/forums/frd/2498642/1]4x8[/url]/[url=http://www1.flightrising.com/forums/frd/2614095/1]50mil[/url]/[url=https://www1.flightrising.com/forums/frd/2732282]5x8[/url] threads to formulate this one!
like before, this thread's here to keep track of the latest hatched ID numbers, to help us prepare for the big hatch. i'll be keeping track of the latest IDs and updating you guys of the progress towards 50mil, and i'll let you guys know when we're very close, and when it hatches! if you would like to be pinged please add yourself to the self-editing pinglist! thank you @Valyrie for making the original pinglist <3
there are 3 pinglists: general, close countdown, and ID 60mil hatch
[LIST]
[*]general is for normal ID updates; it will be merged with close countdown when close countdown activates
[*]close countdown will start pinging at #59900000, just under 100k dragons away from the hatch
[*]ID 60mil hatch is just for when the dragon hatches, for your information!
[/LIST]
you can add yourself to as many of these as you want! if you'd like to just see the hatch, add yourself to 60mil; if you'd like to see everything, add yourself to all three!
[center][size=6][url=https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1nVvO4b2dgcLfeQl5CNgyiyGyxPIKETggDGy5Y4AnVn8/edit?usp=sharing][b]> SELF EDITING PINGLIST HERE <[/b][/url][/size][/center]
note: if you have trouble adding yourself to the pinglist due to technical difficulties being on mobile, you can ping me, @mayanaz, @parasites, or @BlueStopSigns to add you! if anyone else would like to help, you're more than welcome to; for those that have, thank you! <3
to help streamline the process, let us know which of the pinglists (or all) that you'd like to be on so we can get you on there right away! :D
any and all discussion regarding the hatch is also welcome, but please don't overload the thread; our main focus is to keep track and count down. if anyone has any estimated predictions as to when the hatch may be, feel free to share, it would be super helpful for the rest of us!
some rules for the thread:
[LIST=1]
[*]be nice! we're here to have fun and hopefully hatch the lucky number :D
[*]follow forum rules: stay on topic, no pyramid quotes, etc.
[*][b]DO NOT HARASS ANY USERS FOR THEIR HATCHES.[/b] whoever hatches 60mil (or any neat id/dragon) has the right to do what they want with the dragon, and spamming them (even to congratulate them) through pings, profile comments, or messages is considered unwarranted harassment and against the rules. you may congratulate them here, but please do not ping them or link directly to the dragon! whoever hatches is free to state if they're open to congratulations or buy inquiries by [i]their own discretion[/i]. [b]this rule has been [url=http://www1.flightrising.com/forums/frd/2352225/5#post_31139229]emphasized by Aequorin[/url]![/b]
[*]anyone is free to use the pinglist, but please be considerable/respect the sections and check when the last pinglist was sent out! as a rule of thumb, one ping a day is ideal!
[/LIST]
it's been long enough, FAQ time!
[LIST]
[*][b]how often do you ping for ID updates?[/b]
the closer we get, the more i ping! depending on how busy i am, i start by pinging around every 1-7 days. as we get closer, i start pinging daily as best as possible! (usually when i ping close countdown, i start regular daily pings)
[*][b]how often do you ping for ID hatch estimates?[/b]
every two weeks to start! when we get closer, i aim for every week, then every few days. around 1 to 3-ish days before the anticipated hatch, any further estimates become volatile and i tend to not make mass estimate pings, but will share what i know :>
[*][b]do you know when the ID will hatch?[/b]
nope, not at all! that's why i do estimates [emoji=spiral tongue size=1] i keep my past estimates into consideration when i make the next one. i can only guess approximately when it'll come!
[*][b]how do you make your estimates?[/b]
i write out all my math in my estimate posts! i calculate a [i]hatch rate[/i] of how many dragons per minute (dpm) hatch on average in a given time, and use that value to estimate how much more time we have! when i have multiple values, i give an average, minimum, and maximum estimate
[*][b]how accurate are your estimates?[/b]
it varies! it all depends on how many people are hatching dragons. some events - like the banescale release with two eggs per person - and holidays can result in [i]massive[/i] hatch rate jumps, which will bring the date closer, and sometimes there are lulls in activity that push it farther. since hatch rates are averages on the past, they don't reflect what may happen tomorrow. if things stay consistent, my estimates stay consistent! but i do enough estimates that we'll narrow down to the correct date sooner or later :D
[*][b]can you add me to the pinglist?[/b]
the pinglist is self-editing; you can add yourself! however, sometimes there are technical difficulties; it's common for mobile users to have trouble adding themselves. if you need help, let me or anybody who volunteered (listed above) know, and which pinglists you want to be on!
[*][b]can you ping me at #59990000/#59999000/any close ID?[/b]
sorry, i won't make any special pings after #59900000! i'll keep making general updates, but there are so many different times people could anticipate that i can't manage. especially as we get closer, it may happen while i'm away or asleep! you're more than free to track for yourself, or if someone else wants to ping a small group, that's more than okay too!
[*][b]can you ping me when to hatch?[/b]
unfortunately, i can't do this, because it defeats the purpose! there's no set number to hatch at, because it all depends on when other people hatch, and how many other people are attempting. it's a matter of luck due to timing! internet speed, personal reaction time, and hatching setup all come into play. intuition is your best bet here! if i told everyone a certain time to hatch or gave everyone a method, it wouldn't be helpful anymore/the method wouldn't work. plus, it's more fun to guess! :D however, i [i]can[/i] tell you to anticipate a lull before everyone hatches and a massive, cascading wave of hatches as people attempt. also account for internet and site lag!
[*][b]what should i do to prepare?[/b]
fill as many nests and get as many unhatched eggs as you can! i personally fill my nests early on and hatch smaller ones so i can get as many 4-5 egg nests as possible. if your pairs are all on cooldown, get some pretty RTB fodder!
[*][b]how many nests/eggs should i have?[/b]
as many as you can get! no number guarantees a hatch, just ups the chances. there are lots of times people have gotten neat IDs with two or three unhatched eggs or a single nest!
[*][b]can i be pinged for future ID countdowns?[/b]
absolutely! if you pop on over to [url=https://www1.flightrising.com/forums/drs/2558806]SIDHA[/url], our sign up spreadsheet has an option to be pinged for future countdowns! you don't have to sign up for our pinglists to sign up for future countdowns; it's an entirely separate option ^^
[/LIST]
if you're interested in counting down with others on discord, SIDHA's discord server is open for you to join! we have a role and chat/voice section dedicated to ID countdowns just for events like these ^^ rules and guidelines on roles are available upon joining! remember that [b]all FR rules apply[/b] because we're linked on site. you can join by clicking the banner below:
[center][url=https://discord.gg/pEAG5Kk][img]https://i.imgur.com/rJxoMMv.png[/img][/url][/center]
we have some awesome badges (4!!!!) by @ShenziSwan now!!!
[center][img]https://i.imgur.com/oIdIQQ2.png[/img]
[code][img]https://i.imgur.com/oIdIQQ2.png[/img][/code]
[img]https://i.imgur.com/LMNhwRA.png[/img]
[code][img]https://i.imgur.com/LMNhwRA.png[/img][/code]
[img]https://i.imgur.com/XjBt6nr.png[/img]
[code][img]https://i.imgur.com/XjBt6nr.png[/img][/code]
[img]https://i.imgur.com/2kMjrjc.png[/img]
[code][img]https://i.imgur.com/2kMjrjc.png[/img][/code][/center]
with that, good luck, and happy hatching! <3
hey y'all, happy new year! it's time again for another countdown! 50mil may have felt like yesterday, but it's a new year, a new
decade, perfect time for a new big ID! 58.5mil hatched recently, which is my indicator to kick this countdown in B)
as usual, i'm reusing the bulk of the
40mil/
4x8/
50mil/
5x8 threads to formulate this one!
like before, this thread's here to keep track of the latest hatched ID numbers, to help us prepare for the big hatch. i'll be keeping track of the latest IDs and updating you guys of the progress towards 50mil, and i'll let you guys know when we're very close, and when it hatches! if you would like to be pinged please add yourself to the self-editing pinglist! thank you @
Valyrie for making the original pinglist <3
there are 3 pinglists: general, close countdown, and ID 60mil hatch
- general is for normal ID updates; it will be merged with close countdown when close countdown activates
- close countdown will start pinging at #59900000, just under 100k dragons away from the hatch
- ID 60mil hatch is just for when the dragon hatches, for your information!
you can add yourself to as many of these as you want! if you'd like to just see the hatch, add yourself to 60mil; if you'd like to see everything, add yourself to all three!
note: if you have trouble adding yourself to the pinglist due to technical difficulties being on mobile, you can ping me, @
mayanaz, @
parasites, or @
BlueStopSigns to add you! if anyone else would like to help, you're more than welcome to; for those that have, thank you! <3
to help streamline the process, let us know which of the pinglists (or all) that you'd like to be on so we can get you on there right away! :D
any and all discussion regarding the hatch is also welcome, but please don't overload the thread; our main focus is to keep track and count down. if anyone has any estimated predictions as to when the hatch may be, feel free to share, it would be super helpful for the rest of us!
some rules for the thread:
- be nice! we're here to have fun and hopefully hatch the lucky number :D
- follow forum rules: stay on topic, no pyramid quotes, etc.
- DO NOT HARASS ANY USERS FOR THEIR HATCHES. whoever hatches 60mil (or any neat id/dragon) has the right to do what they want with the dragon, and spamming them (even to congratulate them) through pings, profile comments, or messages is considered unwarranted harassment and against the rules. you may congratulate them here, but please do not ping them or link directly to the dragon! whoever hatches is free to state if they're open to congratulations or buy inquiries by their own discretion. this rule has been emphasized by Aequorin!
- anyone is free to use the pinglist, but please be considerable/respect the sections and check when the last pinglist was sent out! as a rule of thumb, one ping a day is ideal!
it's been long enough, FAQ time!
- how often do you ping for ID updates?
the closer we get, the more i ping! depending on how busy i am, i start by pinging around every 1-7 days. as we get closer, i start pinging daily as best as possible! (usually when i ping close countdown, i start regular daily pings)
- how often do you ping for ID hatch estimates?
every two weeks to start! when we get closer, i aim for every week, then every few days. around 1 to 3-ish days before the anticipated hatch, any further estimates become volatile and i tend to not make mass estimate pings, but will share what i know :>
- do you know when the ID will hatch?
nope, not at all! that's why i do estimates 
i keep my past estimates into consideration when i make the next one. i can only guess approximately when it'll come!
- how do you make your estimates?
i write out all my math in my estimate posts! i calculate a hatch rate of how many dragons per minute (dpm) hatch on average in a given time, and use that value to estimate how much more time we have! when i have multiple values, i give an average, minimum, and maximum estimate
- how accurate are your estimates?
it varies! it all depends on how many people are hatching dragons. some events - like the banescale release with two eggs per person - and holidays can result in massive hatch rate jumps, which will bring the date closer, and sometimes there are lulls in activity that push it farther. since hatch rates are averages on the past, they don't reflect what may happen tomorrow. if things stay consistent, my estimates stay consistent! but i do enough estimates that we'll narrow down to the correct date sooner or later :D
- can you add me to the pinglist?
the pinglist is self-editing; you can add yourself! however, sometimes there are technical difficulties; it's common for mobile users to have trouble adding themselves. if you need help, let me or anybody who volunteered (listed above) know, and which pinglists you want to be on!
- can you ping me at #59990000/#59999000/any close ID?
sorry, i won't make any special pings after #59900000! i'll keep making general updates, but there are so many different times people could anticipate that i can't manage. especially as we get closer, it may happen while i'm away or asleep! you're more than free to track for yourself, or if someone else wants to ping a small group, that's more than okay too!
- can you ping me when to hatch?
unfortunately, i can't do this, because it defeats the purpose! there's no set number to hatch at, because it all depends on when other people hatch, and how many other people are attempting. it's a matter of luck due to timing! internet speed, personal reaction time, and hatching setup all come into play. intuition is your best bet here! if i told everyone a certain time to hatch or gave everyone a method, it wouldn't be helpful anymore/the method wouldn't work. plus, it's more fun to guess! :D however, i can tell you to anticipate a lull before everyone hatches and a massive, cascading wave of hatches as people attempt. also account for internet and site lag!
- what should i do to prepare?
fill as many nests and get as many unhatched eggs as you can! i personally fill my nests early on and hatch smaller ones so i can get as many 4-5 egg nests as possible. if your pairs are all on cooldown, get some pretty RTB fodder!
- how many nests/eggs should i have?
as many as you can get! no number guarantees a hatch, just ups the chances. there are lots of times people have gotten neat IDs with two or three unhatched eggs or a single nest!
- can i be pinged for future ID countdowns?
absolutely! if you pop on over to SIDHA, our sign up spreadsheet has an option to be pinged for future countdowns! you don't have to sign up for our pinglists to sign up for future countdowns; it's an entirely separate option ^^
if you're interested in counting down with others on discord, SIDHA's discord server is open for you to join! we have a role and chat/voice section dedicated to ID countdowns just for events like these ^^ rules and guidelines on roles are available upon joining! remember that
all FR rules apply because we're linked on site. you can join by clicking the banner below:
we have some awesome badges (4!!!!) by @
ShenziSwan now!!!
Code:
[img]https://i.imgur.com/oIdIQQ2.png[/img]
Code:
[img]https://i.imgur.com/LMNhwRA.png[/img]
Code:
[img]https://i.imgur.com/XjBt6nr.png[/img]
Code:
[img]https://i.imgur.com/2kMjrjc.png[/img]
with that, good luck, and happy hatching! <3
and as always, per tradition, here is an egg to start off the countdown!
[url=https://flightrising.com/main.php?dragon=58533076]
[img]https://flightrising.com/rendern/350/585331/58533076_350.png[/img]
[/url]
and as always, per tradition, here is an egg to start off the countdown!
YEAAAAAH THIS IS WHAT I'VE BEEN WAITING FOR
LET's GOOOO
YEAAAAAH THIS IS WHAT I'VE BEEN WAITING FOR
LET's GOOOO
Here we go again! Can't believe it's this close already!
Here we go again! Can't believe it's this close already!
Oh wow it's time for another countdown party already?
Oh wow it's time for another countdown party already?
AW HECK YEAH
we're here so early this year!
AW HECK YEAH
we're here so early this year!
aaaaa hype train!! 50mil was a fun experience, let's make this one fun as well~
aaaaa hype train!! 50mil was a fun experience, let's make this one fun as well~
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